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Tuesday, October 6, 2009

Market shoots up

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Indian Market shooted up on opening. Traders are optimistic today.Sharp upward trend seen in the opening. At the time of writing it nifty up by 35 points and sensex by 122 points. Yesterday senssex was below 17000 mark but today it opened well above 17000. Metal,Reality, FMCG, Engineering are the major gainers. I expect market to be rangebound today and will close flat today.
Some selling pressure is seen now.
According to the sentiments from market the trend will continue.It is expected that Indian Market will touch it's all time high in this year.

IPO market and Indian Investors

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After the worst financial crisis in 70 years Indian markets are well in track. It is said that financial meltdown in the US started in December 2007 and continued for one and half years. Now the situation is well under control, thanks to government aids to the economy. Legendary investor described the crisis as one in a lifetime. All major banks and financial institutions in the US collapsed. Millions lost their job around the world. Unrest seen in Australia. Indian students were attacked. Anarchy took place some parts of the world. This was the result of then recent meltdown. The 'U' curve in the economy took the turn and now it shows signs of steadiness. The worst is almost over.

In Indian context the effect of global financial crisis was not that bad. Real estate sector, where prices were at it's peak, witnessed liquidity crunch. Tourism and aviation sectors also witnessed slowdown. Techies and financial services executives lost their job. Government came forward with three stimulus packages injected the same into the economy. Now it is believed that Indian economy regained it's health and can compete china. Recently concluded G-20 summit was a milestone in the economic aspect of India. All big economies in the world agreed that India is a giant economic power. India is one of the few markets which is less affected by the financial crisis.

In India as part of the financial crisis Indian stock market plunged and witnessed it's recent lows. January 2008 was a good month for Indian stock market. Both sensex and nifty recorded their all time heights in that month. But in the same month market started collapsing. Then it was said that the plunge in the market was due to profit booking. But the downward trend continued and sensex came down to 7000 range in October 08.

Indian traders were in panic and they sold their stocks and exit from the market. Now secondary market is very active and almost all the losses were settled. During financial crisis the primary market also was in bad form. Many of the companies postponed their IPO. Some IPOs came in the market but failed to attract investor confidence. As a result IPO market or primary witnessed huge crisis. In 2007 alone 95 IPOs came and majoruty of them were great hit because of favorable market conditions. In the year 2008 only 36IPOs came in the market but failed to collect money. This year sofar 13 IPOs came in to the market. Due to favorable market conditions recent IPOs of Adani power, NHPC and Oil India were hit.

Adani power, the company owned by Gautam Adani was one major IPO after the financial crisis. The issue was over subscribed by 21 times. It is a fact that after listing the companies didn't shine much except Oil India. On the listing day itself Oil India's stock price was up by Rs.100. Indian IPO market is now active and people are more interested in buying fresh shares. Primary market in India slowly gaining pace and this will be the same in the near future.

On 24th August Bombay stock exchange started IPO index. Which was first of it's kind in India. The index tracks the value of stocks for two years after listing with base date May 3, 2004.Now a days an Investor can apply for IPO through online. Every broker is offering this facility. It's a cost effective practice and the investor need not pay any fees to apply for the same. Investor can also keep the money in the bank account which will only be withdrawn after the allotment. These are encouraging factors which believed to attract the common investor towards IPO market. If secondary market remains good there will be no obstacle before the primary market also.

Monday, October 5, 2009

'Now second is the new minute'-Telecomm stocks tumble

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Telephone Regulatory Authority Of India made second billing mandatory. Tata communications was far ahead in this regard, their docomo gsm service was for runner and they started one second billing. Now TRAI made it mandatory.This is a good move for the customer and will attract more and more customers. When 3G come into effect there will be even more participation.But which is a bad news for the major telecom players. After the collapse of Airtel-MTN deal the stock plunged yesterday. The bad omen spread for all telecom players.
Idea stock down around 10%,Airtel and Tata down by 10.5%, Tata communications the lest affected only plunged by 2.15%. Traders expect the earnings of these players will be down.
TRAI's move is a boon to mobile phone customers.Tariff rates will decrease in short term.Reliance already announced rate cut. More competition is expected in the telecom sector.
 
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Sunday, October 4, 2009

Bullish rally witnessed in Indian Market in September

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September was a good month for Indian market. Almost all the trading days in September Indian markets closed in green. In September there were long weekends but this didn't affect the investor sentiment. On the last day of September sensex touched 17,000 mark after a huge gap of 16 months. Nifty also witnessed huge buying interest and it crossed 5000 mark. FIIs and DIIS are very much interested in buying Indian stocks. In the initial days of September global news played key role in shaping the future of Indian market. FIIs activity was largely concentrated in the indices stocks. During the second half of September small scale investors kept a distance from Indian market and they were very cautious. Compared to index stocks less buying interest was witnessed in midcap and smallcap stocks. On the first trading day of October market witnessed choppiness and closed in a flat note ahead of long weekend.

Sensex closed at 17127 on the last trading day of September. It surged 9.32 percent from it's August closing. Nifty was up by 422 points and closed at 5084 against August closing. Sensex opened at 15691 in September and it's low for the month was 15357. During September four companies listed in NSE including public sector companies NHPC and Oil India. Oil India listing was a great hit since it surged by over Rs 100. During September world observed the first anniversary of Global Financial Crisis. Indian bourses though less affected than other major indices in the world made it clear that it is well it it's track towards glory. As a result FII inflow to Indian market witnessed a major boost.

All category stocks witnessed an upward trend. Banking stocks were the major gainers. Banking index of BSE recorded a gain of 18 percent against last month. Metal stocks marked 14 percent increase. Health care and Auto stocks were also hot picks among investors, both gained 13 percent. Reality and Power stocks were less favorite. Small cap stocks were up by 8.47 percent where as Midcap stocks witnessed 7.5 percent increase in September.

Equity oriented mutual funds also improved their performance. China and monsoon factor were less effective during the month. It is believed that retail activity was also low during the period. Profit booking didn't take place much in September. Investors expect a profit booking or correction in the market in the short term.

Going ahead midcap and smallcap spaces are left vacant for investors. Some profit booking may take place in the coming days. It will be beneficial for the investor to use every opportunity. Milk every opportunity should be the motto of the investor.


Thursday, October 1, 2009

Market ends flat ahead of long weekend

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Indian stock market closed flat ahead of long week. (I predicted some profit booking-anyway it ended flat)
Throughout the session the market was choppy.Coming week is very important for markets. According to faber the worst is not over yet!.
Sensex ended at 17135, up by 8 points. Where as nifty ended with out any appreciable profit or loss. There was mixed response in the sectoral indices. IT stocks gained most, healthe care sector witnessed some selling pressure.
Some caution is needed for the long term prospective. If one is ready to take risk surely this market is for them.
 
Detailed report available in moneycontrol
 

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